Publications

Covid-19 Update 5 (3 April)

Covid-19 Update 4 (31 March)

Covid-19 Update 3 (27 March)

Covid-19 Update 2 (25 March)

Covid-19 Update 1 (24 March)

Australian Strategic Policy (ASPI) publications
Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) Publications 

New Zealand, Australia and the ANZUS alliance: Interests, identity and strategy
ASPI Report (42 pages) February 2018

The Cost of Defence: ASPI Defence Budget Brief 2017-2018
ASPI Report (282 pages) May 2017

ASPI at 15
ASPI Report (16 pages) October 2016 (co-author)

Agenda for Change 2016: Strategic choices for the next government
ASPI Report (96 pages) June 2016 (co-author)

The Cost of Defence: ASPI Defence Budget Brief 2016-2017
ASPI Report (254 pages) May 2016

Japan versus Europe: the quest to build Australia’s future submarine
ASPI Report (28 pages) February 2016 (co-author)

An enterprise-level naval shipbuilding plan
ASPI Report (13 pages) July 2015 (co-author)

The Cost of Defence: ASPI Defence Budget Brief 2015–2016
ASPI Report (252 pages) May 2015

Reviews and contestability: new directions for Defence
ASPI Report (23 pages) May 2015 (co-author)

One Defence: one direction? The First Principles Review of Defence
ASPI Report (36 pages) April 2015 (co-author)

Strike from the air: The first 100 days of the campaign against ISIL
ASPI Report (72 pages) December 2014 (co-author)

How to buy a submarine: Part 2
ASPI Report (14 pages) June 2014 (co-author)

The Cost of Defence: ASPI Defence Budget Brief 2014-2015
ASPI Report (250 pages) May 2014

Agenda for change: strategic choices for the next government
ASPI Report (64 pages) August 2013 (co-author)

The Cost of Defence: ASPI Defence Budget Brief 2013-2014
ASPI Report (246 pages) May 2013

How much is too little? Learning to live with a smaller force
ASPI Report (4 pages) August 2012

Crying poor? The affordability of defence expenditure
ASPI Report (6 pages) July 2012

The Cost of Defence: ASPI Budget Brief 2012-13
ASPI Report (272 pages) May 2012

Mind the gap: getting serious about submarines
co-author Andrew Davies, ASPI Report (20 pages) April 2012

Trade, investment and Australia’s national security…or how I learned to stop worrying and love Chinese money
ASPI Report (24 pages) April 2012

Should Australia build warships
ASPI Report (28 pages) April 2012 (co-author)

Three views of risk: Selecting and acquiring military equipment
co-authors Andrew Davies & Chris Jenkins, ASPI Report (22 pages) November 2011

Who goes where? Positioning the ADF for the Asia-Pacific century
co-author Andrew Davies, ASPI Report (8 pages) September 2011

Serving Australia: control and administration of the Department of Defence
ASPI Report (52 pages) June 2011

The Cost of Defence: ASPI Budget Brief 2011-12
ASPI Report (270 pages) May 2011

The once and future submarine—raising and sustaining Australia’s underwater capability
co-author Andrew Davies, ASPI Report (7 pages) April 2011

Known unknowns: Uncertainty about the future of the Asia-Pacific 
co-author Andrew Davies, ASPI Report (16 pages) October 2010

What sort of defence force does Australia need? 
ASPI Report (13 pages) August 2010

How much is enough? The disclosure of defence capability planning information
co-author Leigh Purnell, ASPI Report (76 pages) June 2010

The Cost of Defence: ASPI Budget Brief 2010-11
ASPI Report (264 pages) May 2010

Naval gazing: The future of Australia’s naval shipbuilding and repair sector
ASPI Report (24 pages) May 2010 (co-author)

Australian defence policy assessment 2010 
co-authors Rod Lyon and Andrew Davies, ASPI Report (19 pages) April 2010

A modest proposal: do our homework (Review of Shipbuilding: Australia’s $250 billion Nation Building Opportunity)
ASPI online forum (2 pages) March 2010

Trends in US defence spending: implications for Australia
ASPI Report (8 pages) March 2010

The Human Tide: An Australian Perspective on Demographics and Security
ASPI Report, (70 pages) June 2009

The Cost of Defence: ASPI Budget Brief 2009-10 
ASPI Report (236 pages) May 2009

2008-09 mid-year Defence budget update 
ASPI Report (12 pages) February 2009

Strategic Choices – Defending Australia in the 21st century
co-author Andrew Davies, ASPI Report (32 pages) December 2008

The Cost of Defence: ASPI Budget Brief 2008-09
ASPI Report (244 pages) May 2008

ADF Capability Review: Australian Army
co-author Andrew Davies, ASPI Report (8 pages) May 2008

An Office of National Security 
co-author Anthony Bergin, ASPI Report (2 pages)  December 2007

The Australia-Japan_strategic relationship: An Australian perspective
The 4th Australia and Japan1.5 Track Security Dialogue, Canberra,10–11, pp. 78-87, December 2007.

2007 Australian Defence Budget Summary
ASPI Report (12 pages) August 2007

The Cost of Defence: ASPI Budget Brief 2007-08 
ASPI Report (236 pages) May 2007

The Final Straw: Are our defence forces overstretched?  
ASPI Report (11 pages) May 2007

Improving Defence Management
ASPI Report (15 pages) January 2007

Transforming the US Military: Implications for the Asia-Pacific
with Richard Bitzinger (principle author), ASPI Report, December 2006

Your Defence Dollar: The 2006-07 Defence Budget 
ASPI Report (15 pages) August 2006

The Cost of Defence: ASPI Budget Brief 2006-07 
ASPI Report, (222 pages) May 2006

Crunch Time: Planning Australia’s future defence force
ASPI Report (14 pages), November 2005

Punching above our weight? Australia as a middle power  
ASPI Report (13 pages), August 2005

Your Defence Dollar: The 2005-06 Defence Budget
ASPI Report (46 pages), August 2005

The Cost of Defence: ASPI Defence Budget Brief 2005-06
ASPI Report (232 pages) May 2005

War and Profit: Doing business on the battlefield   
ASPI Report (48 pages) March 2005

Your Defence Dollar: The 2004-05 Defence Budget 
ASPI Report (56 pages) August 2004

The Cost of Defence: ASPI Defence Budget Brief 2004-05   
ASPI Report (204 pages) May 2004

A Trillion Dollars and Counting: Paying for defence to 2050  
ASPI Report (39 pages) March 2004

Weapons of Mass Construction: Australian naval shipbuilding  
ASPI Report (4 pages) March 2004

Reviewing the Defence Capability Plan 2004-2014 
with Aldo Borgu, ASPI Report (12 pages) March 2004

Private financing of the HQ Joint Operations Command
ASPI Discussion Paper, (distributed to Central Agencies), 2004

Pay Your Money, Take Your Pick: Defence spending choices for Australia      
ASPI Report (54 pages) December 2003

Sinews of War: Defence Budget in 2003 
ASPI Report (52 pages) August 2003

The Cost of Defence: ASPI Budget Brief 2003-04  
ASPI Report (190 pages) May 2003

Cut Capability Last: Responding to a Defence Budget Crisis
ASPI Decision Maker’s Brief (distributed to Central Agencies)
(with Aldo Borgu), 2003

Setting a Course for Australia’s Naval Shipbuilding Industry  
ASPI Report (44 pages) August 2002

The Cost of Defence: ASPI Budget Brief 2002-03 
ASPI Report (145 pages) May 2002

Acclimatization Disposition and ADF Readiness
ASPI Quick Look Brief (prepared for Minister for Defence Personnel and Science) 2005

New Ideas for Defence Personnel
ASPI Quick Look Brief (prepared for Minister for Defence Personnel and Science) 2005

Recruiting from the South Pacific and East Timor
ASPI Quick Look Brief (prepared for Minister for Defence Personnel and Science) 2005

Private financing of the HQ Joint Operations Command
ASPI Discussion Paper (17 pages) 2004

Cut Capability Last: Responding to the Defence Budget Crisis
ASPI Decision Makers’ Brief (18 pages) 2003

The 2001-02 Defence Annual Report – A Quick Overview
ASPI Decision Makers’ Brief (11 pages) 2003

Defence Budget 2003-04: A Budget Night Guide to Defence Spending
ASPI Media Brief (8 pages) May 2003

Defence’s Naval Shipbuilding and Repair Sector Plan
ASPI Decision Makers’ Brief (15 pages) 2002

ASPI working papers and informal reports


Other think tank publications

Essay on Australian Defence Economics in The Military Balance 2016. International Institute for Strategic Studies, pp. 217-221, 2016.

Australian Defense Policy in the Trump Era
co-author Andrew Davies
Asia Pacific Bulletin, No. 373, 27 February 2017, East West Center

Deciphering Australia’s Defense Budget
Asia Pacific Bulletin, No. 215, 23 May 2013, East West Center

Confusion Down Under: Australia and the US Pivot to Asia
Asia Pacific Bulletin, No. 180, 23 September 2012, East West Center


Official policy documents and reports

Defence Industry Policy Review 2006 Discussion Paper
Prepared for Defence Minister Brendan Nelson
(coauthored with Lucio Di Bartolomeo, Kerry Clarke, Henry Ergas)

Defence and Industry Policy Statement 2007
Prepared for Defence Minister Brendan Nelson
(coauthored with Lucio Di Bartolomeo, Kerry Clarke, Henry Ergas)

Going to the Next Level – Report of the Defence Procurement and Sustainment Review (acted as Editorial Adviser)

How much information is enough? The disclosure of defence capability planning information 2010
Prepared for Defence Minister John Faulkner
(with Leigh Purnell)


Journal articles

Funding and Delivering the 2016 Defence White Paper
Security Challenges
, Vol. 12, No. 1, (11 pages) 2016.

Means Ends and Make Believe
Security Challenges
, Vol. 9, No. 2, (8 pages) 2013.

Politics of Defence Economics in Australia  (interview)
POLICY, Vol. 29, No. 2, Winter 2013 (3 pages)

Lean Times Ahead for the Australian Defence Force
Newsbrief, RUSI, Vol.33 No.1, January 2013

Austraian Defence: The Future under Abbott
Newsbrief, RUSI, Vol.33 No.6, November 2013

More Guns Without Less Butter: Improving Australian Defence Efficiency 
co-author Henry Ergas
Agenda
, Vol. 18, No. 3, 2011

Review of ‘The Science of War’ by Michael E O’Hanlon
Australian Army Journal, p.194-195, Vol. VII, No. 3, 2010

Defence Funding and Planning: Promises and Secrets 
Security Challenges, Vol. 5, No. 2, (8 pages) Winter 2009.

Review of The Defence Theory of Relativity by Brian Cooper
Defender, p. 41, (1 page) Winter 2007.

Australian Defence Spending: As Good as it Gets?
Defender, p. 12, (3 pages) Winter 2007.

Will Australia have the Economic, Industrial and Workforce Skill Base to Support the ADF in 2020 and Beyond?
Australian Defence Force Journal, p. 101-109, No. 173, 2007.

Competition in Australian defence procurement
Growth, p. 32-39, No. 57, Committee for the Economic Development of Australia, 2006

Defence Budget 2006-07: Planning on Hope or Pessimism
Defender, p.12 (7 pages) Winter 2006.

Guns or Butter
Defender, p. 18 (1 page) Summer 2005-06.

Easier Said Than Done: At the Six Year Mark in Remaking the ADF
Defender, p.11-15, Winter 2005.


Monographs and chapters

‘Funding Australia’s Defence’ in Australian Defence – Towards a New Era?. Edited by Peter J. Dean, Stepan Fruhling and Brandan Taylor. Melbourne University Press, Melbourne, 2014.

‘Inquiries into Defence -why no difference?’ in Royal Commissions & Public Inquiries – Practice & Potential (with Henry Ergas). Edited by Scott Prasser and Helen Tracey, Connorcourt Publishing, Ballarat, 2014.

‘Strategic Considerations’ in Transport Fuels from Australia’s Gas Resources: Advancing the nation’s energy security. Edited by Robert Clark and Mark Thomson, UNSW Press, Sydney, 2014.

‘Australian Naval Shipbuilding’ in The Naval Contribution to National Security and Prosperity – Proceedings of the RAN Sea Power Conference 2012 (with Henry Ergas and Andrew Davies)Edited by Andrew Forbes, Commonwealth of Australia, 2013.

‘Populate or perish’ in A Greater Australia: Population, policies and governance, Committee for the Economic Development of Australia (10 pages) March 2012

‘The Power of Three’ in Asia-Pacific Security – US, Australia and Japan and the New Security Triangle, Edited by William T. Tow, Mark J. Thomson, Yoshinobu Yamamoto & Satu P. LimayeRoutledge, Oxon, 2007.  

‘The Challenge of Coherence: Strategic Guidance, Capability and Budgets’ in History as Policy – framing the debate on the future of Australia’s defence policy, Edited by Ron Huisken and Meredith Thatcher, p. 131-141, ANU Press 2007.


Conference papers and talks (incomplete)

What does the 2012 Budget mean for the 2009 Defence White Paper? (slides)
ASPI-HP Defence and Security Luncheon, Canberra, (10 pages) May 2012

The 2013 Defence White Paper: Key issues and challenges (video)
National Security College public event, 15 May 2012, ANU, with Rod Lyon and Peter Leahy

Should Australia build warships: An economic and strategic analysis
co-authors Andrew Davies & Henry Ergas, Conference Paper (28 pages) April 2012

The 2011 Defence Budget and Defence Reform
ASPI-Unisys Defence and Security Luncheon, Canberra, (13 pages) May 2011

What sort of Defence Force Does Australia Need?
Proceedings of the ASPI Global Forces 2010 Conference, (13 pages) 18-19 August 2010

The 2010 Defence Budget
ASPI-Unisys Defence and Security Luncheon, Canberra, May 2010

The global financial crisis and the Australian defence budget
ASPI-UNISYS Defence and Security Luncheon, Canberra, (12 pages) May 2009

Will Australia have the Economic, Industrial and Workforce Skill Base to Support the ADF in 2020 and Beyond?
Proceeding of the ADC-RUSI Seminar 2007, Australian Defence Force Journal, No. 173, p. 101-109, 2007.

Defence industry in the 21st century: Implications for smaller countries, presented at the International Seminar on Defence Finance and Economics, New Delhi, India (26 pages) November 2006.

Where To Now For Naval Shipbuilding & Repair?
Pacific International Maritime Conference, Sydney, (10 pages), 3 February 2004

The Changing Roles of Defence and Industry in Material Support
Defence Material and Logistics Support Conference, Sydney, 18 August 2003


Magazine articles

2017 Budget delivers for Defence
Australian Defence Magazine, p.19, (2 pages) June 2017

Interview on Australian Defence (confused)
Monacle, Issue 91, p. 71, (1 column) March 2016.

2016 Federal Budget and the Defence White Paper
Australian Defence Magazine, p. 21-22, (2 pages) June 2016

Setting the Sea Power scene
Australian Defence Magazine, (4 pages) p. 18-22, October 2015 (with Andrew Davies)

Budget 2015 – Better than expected
Australian Defence Magazine, (2 pages) p. 42-42,  June 2015

Defence funding and reform – light at the end of the tunnel
Australian Defence Magazine, (2 pages) p. 22-24, June 2014

‘Defence Budget – Not all woe or go ‘
Australian Defence Magazine, (2 pages) p. 46-47, June 2013

Budget 2012: A thin case for optimism
Australian Defence Magazine, (2 pages) p. 54-55, June 2012

‘Force 2013 faces perfect storm’
Australian Defence Magazine, p. 48-52, June 2011

‘From the Source’ Interview with Andrew Davies and Mark Thomson
Australian Defence Magazine, p. 47-50, July 2010

‘Budget 2010 – Promises Promises’
Australian Defence Magazine, p. 44-45, June 2010

‘ASPI’s Opinion’
Australian Defence Magazine, May 2008

‘The Future of Naval Shipbuilding in Australia’
Australian Defence Magazine, p. 22-24, May 2007

‘Defence’s Business Environment—good news and bad’
Australian Defence Magazine, p. 12, April 2004

‘Defence changes strike right note’
Asia- Pacific Defence Reporter, November, p. 7-10, November, 2003.

‘Setting a Course for Australian Naval Shipbuilding and Repair Sector’
Australian Defence Magazine, p.25-28, June 2003


Newspaper and online articles

Scramble will not content everyone
The Australian, 28 October 2017

Defence budget 2017
The Australian, May 2017

Title unknown (defence spending)
The Australian (?), October 2016

Defence White Papers 2000-2016
The Australian (?), May 2016

Services as good as their people
The Australian, 1 November 2015

More than $1 trillion, but why put a figure on it
The Australian, 1 November 2015

An expanding defence budget is a hard sell for new minister Marise Payne
The Sydney Morning Herald, 26 October 2015

Budget boost off to a slow start
The Australian, 28 May 2016

Strategic planning to manage defence spending
The Australian, 30 May 2015

Mission – smooth sailing
The Australian, 1 November 2014

Military the big buget winner
The Australian, 31 May 2014

In a real world, Abbott faces a big challenge
The Australian, 2 November 2013

No defence
Australian Financial Review, 2 July 2013

Risks of building subs needs analysis
The Australian, 23 June 2013

We’re still not paying enough for the defence force we need
The Canberra Times, 3 June 2013

Future Frigate haste means Anzac waste
The Australian, 25 May 2013

Second change — will they deliver
The Australian, 25 May 2013

In step with the US but to our own stride
The Australian, 27 October 2012

We need defence we can afford
The Australian, 18 September 2012

We needn’t worry about defence cuts
Australian Financial Review, 18 August 2012

If budget cuts portend smaller ambitions – let’s spell them out in the white paper
The Australian, 26 May 2012

Why the Department keeps Getting it Wrong
The Australian, 29 October 2011

Saga of cuts and deferrals
The Australian, 28 May 2011

Accountability the elephant in the room
The Australian, 28 May 2011

Notebook – End of the rabbit hole
Australian Financial Review, 27 May 2011

Budget night opinion
The Sydney Morning Herald, 11 May 2011

Budget night opinion
The Age, 11 May 2011

Focus shifts to the developing world as budget cuts bite
The Australian, 23 October 2010

Australian Defence Supplement – centrespread
The Australian, 23 October 2010

Era of the spree has long gone
The Australian, 29 May 2010

New force protection measures not before time
Crikey.com.au, 12 May 2010

Boom and the fear factor delivered payload of cash
Sydney Morning Herald, 10 March 2010

Flood of money does not negate the neccessity of $20bn cut to expenditure
The Australian, 23 May 2009

Less blue-sky innovation, more basics
The Australian, 24 October 2009

Defence’s black op – kepping the public in the dark
Canberra Times, 2 June 2009

Budget night opinion
The Australian, 13 May 2009

Inefficiencies must be addressed
The Australian, 7 June 2008

Rudd’s vast foreign engagements
ABC Online, The Drum, 31 December 2007

Balancing interests a tough act
The Australian, 8 December 2007

Defence procurement (publication uncertain)
The Australian, August 2007

Cash a record, but ranks on empty
The Australian, 26 May 2007

Cure less severe than diagnosis in review
The Australian, 26 May 2007

Budget night opinion
Crikey (online), 9 May 2007

Budget night opinion
The Australian, 9 May 2007

Budget night opinion
Australian Financial Review, 9 May 2007

Budget night opinion
The Sydney Morning Herald, 9 May 2007

‘Defence’s Proustian moment’
Australian Financial Review, 31 January 2007

More spending is inevitable despite committment hike
The Australian, 27 May 2006

Budget night opinion
The Sydney Morning Herald, 10 May 2006

National security spending (publication uncertain)
The Australian, February 2006

ADF must have budget growth beyond 2010
The Australian, 10 December 2005

Budget marks 455 m for Iraq
The Australian, 21 May 2005

Budget night opinion
The Age, May 2005

Flush military faces leaner times
The Australian, 18 June 2004

Naval Contracts Chart New course in Tendering
Australian Financial Review, 18 June 2004

Budget night opinion
The Daily Telegraph, 12 May 2004

Financial responsibility for service chiefs
Australian Financial Review, 31 March 2004

The fleet’s in – hopefully
Australian Financial Review, 25 February 2004

Defence is an unstoppable beast
Australian Financial Review, 22 August 2003

Lies and statistics: Defence and GDP
Australian Financial Review, 9 August 2003

Lies and statistics – Cost of Iraq
Australian Financial Review, 12 April 2003

Plan does not improve with time (Iraq Invasion)
Australian Financial Review, 2 April 2003

ADF funding does not reach its target
Australian Financial Review, 5 February 2003

Fighting Chance for Navy
Australian Financial Review, 7 August 2002


Blog posts

The best of times…
The Strategist, 23 February 2018

The Australia–New Zealand defence partnership: a net assessment
The Strategist, 21 February 2018

Defence acquisition—taking on more risk for greater speed
The Strategist, 19 December 2017 (with Andrew Davies)

Submission to the parliamentary inquiry into the benefits and risks of a bipartisan Australian defence agreement
The Strategist, 17 October 2017 (with Andrew Davies)

More of the same: Defence’s online Integrated Investment Program
The Strategist, 4 August 2017

The wickedness of China
The Strategist, 8 June 2017

The Budget that was
The Strategist, 25 May 2017

Smart buyer: just saying it doesn’t make it so
The Strategist, 24 May 2017

Defence exports—best bang for the buck?
The Strategist, 23 May 2017

Australia and War To-Day (part 2)
The Strategist, 22 May 2017

Australia and War To-day
The Strategist, 19 May 2017

Defence efficiency dividends: weeding the garden blindfolded
The Strategist, 18 May 2017

The national shipbuilding plan: a first look
The Strategist, 16 May 2017 (with Andrew Davies)

Driving the economy
The Strategist, 12 May 2017

Budget 2017: the highlights
The Strategist, 10 May 2017

Budget 2017: tell me what you really think
The Strategist, 8 May 2017

Beast of burden
The Strategist, 5 April 2017

What Trump understands
The Strategist, 22 March 2017 (with Andrew Davies)

‘Lawful countermeasures’ and China’s South China Sea claims
The Strategist, 16 March 2017 (with Andrew Davies)

A letter from America: views from DC
The Strategist, 13 March 2017 (with Andrew Davies)

Naval shipbuilding in Australia: the case for a regulatory overhaul
The Strategist, 14 December 2016 (with Andrew Davies)

Shaping and hedging in a time of Trump
The Strategist, 15 November 2016

Australia and New Zealand—so near yet so far
The Strategist, 17 October 2016

Interpreting the ASC split
The Strategist, 12 October 2016 (with Andrew Davies)

ASPI at 15: the cost of Defence
The Strategist, 26 August 2016

Geek(s) of the week: trawling the Defence contracts database
The Strategist, 22 August 2016 (with Andrew Davies)

DWP 2016: betting big at the regional roulette table
The Strategist, 9 May 2016

Making sense of the government’s defence industry policy
The Strategist, 6 May 2016

The no-surprises Defence budget
The Strategist, 3 May 2016

Defence budget watch
The Strategist, 2 May 2016

Building the future Navy: the OPVs
The Strategist, 28 April 2016

The ADF, the Australian public and The Australian
The Strategist, 22 April 2016 (with Andrew Davies)

Planning for failure—the Oberon to Collins transition
The Strategist, 11 April 2016 (with Andrew Davies)

When is rolling submarine production not continuous?
The Strategist, 6 April 2016 (with Andrew Davies)

The (kinda sort of) Integrated Investment Program
The Strategist, 9 March 2016

Reflections on the 2016 Quad Plus Dialogue
The Strategist, 8 March 2016 (with Andrew Davies)

The new normal: a decade of stagnant real wages for defence personnel?
The Strategist, 8 March 2016

New subs—not so fast
The Strategist, 3 March 2016 (with Andrew Davies)

Solving the China puzzle
The Strategist, 1 March 2016

Good riddance to 2% targeting
The Strategist, 25 February 2016

Funding defence and squaring the circle
The Strategist, 18 February 2016

Turning Japanese
The Strategist, 9 February 2016

Cheaper by the dozen
The Strategist, 12 January 2016

Australia and Japan: the unknown unknowns
The Strategist, 18 November 2015

Managing monopolies or confecting competition?
The Strategist, 21 October 2015 (with Andrew Davies)

The future submarine project: one step, two step
The Strategist, 8 October 2015 (with Andrew Davies)

Tony Abbott’s trillion dollar legacy
The Strategist, 6 October 2015

Surface warships: it’s not all plain sailing
The Strategist, 26 August 2015 (with Andrew Davies)

Ships ahoy!
The Strategist, 4 August 2015 (with Andrew Davies)

China’s economic outlook: the end of certainty?
The Strategist, 30 July 2015

Beauty is in the eye of the beholder
The Strategist, 16 July 2015

Rollin’, rollin’, rollin’
The Strategist, 13 July 2015 (with Andrew Davies)

Graph of the week: the trackside view of defence spending
The Strategist, 3 July 2015

Indexation, inflation and the cost of defence projects
The Strategist, 22 June 2015

What on earth is going on with the Air Warfare Destroyer program?
The Strategist, 19 June 2015

Collins submarine availability—on track but under wraps
The Strategist, 29 May 2015 (with Andrew Davies)

Cost of Defence 2015 launched
The Strategist, 28 May 2015

Saving the AWD project—too little, too late?
The Strategist, 27 May 2015

The 2015 Defence White Paper: show us the money
The Strategist, 26 May 2015

Not the last word on the first principles review
The Strategist, 22 May 2015

Budget 2015: a good one for Defence
The Strategist, 13 May 2015

Budget 2015: global uncertainties and Australia’s defence spending
The Strategist, 12 May 2015

Naval deconstruction: RAND’s shipbuilding report
The Strategist, 5 May 2015

Accounting for accountability
The Strategist, 23 May 2015

The demise of the Defence Materiel Organisation
The Strategist, 17 April 2015

The surface fleet: the question of numbers
The Strategist, 12 February 2015

Whither 2%?
The Strategist, 10 February 2015

AWD: time for Plan B
The Strategist, 10 December 2014 (with Andrew Davies)

The costs of cutting steel
The Strategist, 5 November 2014

On economics and submarines
The Strategist, 29 October 2014 (with Henry Ergas)

Graph of the week: ADF pay
The Strategist, 17 October 2014

Submarines: the value of Option B
The Strategist, 3 October 2014

Defence and the diarchy
The Strategist, 1 October 2014

First principles review: one more round of external oversight
The Strategist, 22 August 2014

The British are coming
The Strategist, 6 August 2014 (with Andrew Davies)

The elephant in the conference room
The Strategist, 30 July 2014

Defence projects, jobs and economic growth
The Strategist, 8 July 2014

How to buy a submarine – part 2
The Strategist, 25 June 2014 (with Andrew Davies)

Shipbuilding—Australian style
The Strategist, 10 June 2014

The cost of Defence: eighty million, two hundred & eighty-one thousand, three hundred & ninety-one dollars & seventy-eight cents per day
The Strategist, 29 May 2014

The 2014 Defence budget—as good as it gets!
The Strategist, 13 May 2014

Defence reform after the National Commission of Audit
The Strategist, 6 May 2014

The JSF and the issue of ‘new money’
The Strategist, 28 April 2014

Submarines by the dozen?
The Strategist, 10 April 2014

Thinking about submarines
The Strategist, 8 April 2014

Free financial advice
The Strategist, 26 March 2014

Should we worry about China’s defence spending?
The Strategist, 17 March 2014

Power sharing and risk management in Hugh White’s ‘China Choice’
The Strategist, 28 February 2014

Defence efficiency: ASPI’s view
The Strategist, 12 February 2014

DMO: industry’s view not accurate
The Strategist, 7 February 2014

Graph of the week: a short history of over-programming in defence acquisition
The Strategist, 9 December 2013 (with Andrew Davies)

Capability development—still a work in progress (2)
The Strategist, 4 December 2013 (with Andrew Davies)

Capability development—still a work in progress (1)
The Strategist, 28 November 2013 (with Andrew Davies)

A folly of strategic proportions
The Strategist, 28 October 2013

In the market for a naval shipbuilding plan
The Strategist, 26 September 2013

The Air Warfare Destroyer project – how effective is the alliance model?
The Strategist, 16 September 2013

2% – can we, should we, will we?
The Strategist, 10 September 2013

Two—the magic number
The Strategist, 26 August 2013

Defence reform and the cuts to come
The Strategist, 20 August 2013

The ongoing unreality of Australian defence planning
The Strategist, 15 August 2013 (with Andrew Davies)

Welcome aboard, Minister
The Strategist, 28 June 2013 (with Andrew Davies)

Australian shipbuilding—Pretty Woman III?
The Strategist, 5 June 2013

The cost of Defence: sixty-nine million, six hundred & eighty-one thousand, nine hundred & eighty dollars & eighty-two cents per day
The Strategist, 30 May 2013

The Defence White Paper—between the lines
The Strategist, 14 May 2013

All at sea
The Strategist, 8 May 2013

Where’s the Beef?
The Strategist, 3 May 2013

We don’t have to choose between the US and China
The Strategist, 2 May 2013

Economists and strategists
The Strategist, 29 April 2013

There’s no perfect measure for defence spending
The Strategist, 23 April 2013

Trade partnership competition: TPP vs RCEP
The Strategist, 16 April 2013

On the eve of Iraq
The Strategist, 3 April 2013

A (fiscal) reality of our own creation
The Strategist, 28 March 2013

Marines in Darwin – make it so
The Strategist, 1 March 2013 (with Andrew Davies)

What’s happening to the US defence budget?
The Strategist, 19 February 2013

Hard times
The Strategist, 13 February 2013

Pamphlets, papers and policy
The Strategist, 4 December 2012

Defence in an age of austerity
The Strategist, 4 December 2012

Trouble at the docks?
The Strategist, 13 September 2012

The swings and roundabout of defence reform
The Strategist, 12 September 2012 (with Andrew Davies)

Re-re-re-reforming Defence acquisition
The Strategist, 10 September 2012 (with Andrew Davies)

Growler: a big decision with big consequences
The Strategist, 23 August 2012

How much is too little? Learning to live with a smaller force
The Strategist, 15 August 2012

Thinking about defence and risk
The Strategist, 2 August 2012

What are we to make of the new Defence Capability Plan?
The Strategist, 30 July 2012

Guns or butter?
The Strategist, 18 July 2012

History Rhymes: The dangers of containing China
Pnyx, 8 August 2011


Science

Ground-state spectrum of light-quark measons
C J Burden, L. Qian, C D Roberts, P C Tandy and M J Thomson
Physical Review C, Vol 55, No. 5, 2649 (1997)

Separable approximation to the Bethe-Salpeter equation in QCD
C J Burden, L. Qian, C D Roberts, P C Tandy and M J Thomson
Nuclear Physics B, Vol. 47 (Proc. Suppl.) p. 362-365 (1996)

Electromagnetic form-factors of charged and neutral kaons
C J Burden, C D Roberts and M J Thomson
Physics Letters B, Vol. 371, p. 163 (1996)

Large neutrino asymmetries from neutrino oscillations
R Foot, M J Thomson and R. Volkas
Physical Review D Vol. 53, p. 5349 (1996)

Honours_Level_Quantum_Mechanics_on_the_Web
B H J McKellar and M J Thomson
Proceedings of the Second Annual Australian Conference on Computors in University physics Education, University of Melbourne Physics 1995/56 (1995)

Oscillating neutrinos in the early universe
B H J McKellar and M J Thomson
Physical Review D, Vol. 49, p.2710 (1994)

The Dirac equation in Kerr spacetime, spheroidal coordinates and the MIT bag model of hadrons
B H J McKellarG J Stephenson Jr and M J Thomson
Journal of Physics A, Mathematical and General Physics, Vol. 26, No. 14. p.3649 (1993)

Can we test the many-Hilbert-space approach to quantum mechanics?
M J Thomson
Physics Letters A, Vol. 179, No. 4-5. pp.239-243 (1993)

Atmospheric neutrino fluxes and sterile neutrinos
Kari Enqvist, Kimmo Kainulainen and Mark Thomson
Physics Letters B, Vol. 288, No. 1-2. pp. 145-147 (1992)

Stringent cosmological bounds on inert neutrino mixing
Kari Enqvist, Kimmo Kainulainen and Mark Thomson
Nuclear Physics B, Vol. 373, No. 2. pp. 498-528 (1992)

Book Review: Neutrino Physics, Klaus Winter (ed.)
M J Thomson
Astrophysics and Space Science, Vol. 198, p. 165 (1992)

Master equations for oscillating doublet neutrinos
B H J McKellar and M J Thomson
Proceedings of the 1992 Franklin Neutrino Symposium

Cosmological bounds on Dirac-Majorana neutrinos
Kari Enqvist, Kimmo Kainulainen and Mark Thomson
Physics Letters B, Vol. 280, No. 3-4. pp. 245-250 (1992)

Damping of quantum coherence by elastic and inelastic processes
M J Thomson
Physical Review A, Vol. 45, No. 4, p.2243 (1992)

Nucleosynthesis confronts an unstable, inert 17-keV state
Kari Enqvist, Kimmo Kainulainen and Mark Thomson
Physical Review Letters, Vol. 68, No. 6, p.744-747 (1992)
mentioned in Nature 355 (1992) p.637 and New Scientist (4 April 1992) p. 16

The non-linear MSW equation
B H J McKellar and M J Thomson
Physics Letters B, Vol. 259 No. 1-2, pp.113-118 (1991)

The solution of the Dirac equation for a high square barrier
B H J McKellar and M J Thomson
American Journal of Physics, Vol. 59, No. 4, p.340 (1991)

A microscopic model for the propagation of an oscillating neutrino in matter
B H J McKellar and M J Thomson
Modern Physics Letters A Vol. 05, No. 26, pp. 2107-2113 (1990)


Climbing

Bomb Away 2016
Unpublished draft from 2016 John Long Writing Symposium


Unpublished essays

2017 Things I don’t understand about F-35 program economic impact (wonkish)
(7 pages)

2016 Paper on submarine plans and transition (wonkish)
(17 pages) with Andrew Davies

2009 Essay on US in Asia
(6 pages)

2009 Outline for Power and Money
(2 pages)

2006 Essay on Strategic Update
(3 pages)

2005 Essay What is our policy?
(33 pages)

2004 Election oped (not submitted)
(2 pages)

2004 Shipbuilding oped (not submitted)
(2 pages)

2003 Iraq oped 2 (not submitted)
(2 pages)

2003 Iraq oped 1 (not submitted)
(2 pages)

2003 Cosgrove Book Chapter
(16 pages)

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