- Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) publications
- Other think tank publications
- Official policy documents and reports
- Journal articles
- Monographs and chapters
- Conference papers and talks (incomplete)
- Magazine articles
- Newspaper and online articles
- Blog posts
- Science
- Climbing
- Unpublished essays (including the fish that John West rejects)
Australian Strategic Policy (ASPI) publications
Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) Publications
New Zealand, Australia and the ANZUS alliance: Interests, identity and strategy
ASPI Report (42 pages) February 2018
The Cost of Defence: ASPI Defence Budget Brief 2017-2018
ASPI Report (282 pages) May 2017
ASPI at 15
ASPI Report (16 pages) October 2016 (co-author)
Agenda for Change 2016: Strategic choices for the next government
ASPI Report (96 pages) June 2016 (co-author)
The Cost of Defence: ASPI Defence Budget Brief 2016-2017
ASPI Report (254 pages) May 2016
Japan versus Europe: the quest to build Australia’s future submarine
ASPI Report (28 pages) February 2016 (co-author)
An enterprise-level naval shipbuilding plan
ASPI Report (13 pages) July 2015 (co-author)
The Cost of Defence: ASPI Defence Budget Brief 2015–2016
ASPI Report (252 pages) May 2015
Reviews and contestability: new directions for Defence
ASPI Report (23 pages) May 2015 (co-author)
One Defence: one direction? The First Principles Review of Defence
ASPI Report (36 pages) April 2015 (co-author)
Strike from the air: The first 100 days of the campaign against ISIL
ASPI Report (72 pages) December 2014 (co-author)
How to buy a submarine: Part 2
ASPI Report (14 pages) June 2014 (co-author)
The Cost of Defence: ASPI Defence Budget Brief 2014-2015
ASPI Report (250 pages) May 2014
Agenda for change: strategic choices for the next government
ASPI Report (64 pages) August 2013 (co-author)
The Cost of Defence: ASPI Defence Budget Brief 2013-2014
ASPI Report (246 pages) May 2013
How much is too little? Learning to live with a smaller force
ASPI Report (4 pages) August 2012
Crying poor? The affordability of defence expenditure
ASPI Report (6 pages) July 2012
The Cost of Defence: ASPI Budget Brief 2012-13
ASPI Report (272 pages) May 2012
Mind the gap: getting serious about submarines
co-author Andrew Davies, ASPI Report (20 pages) April 2012
Trade, investment and Australia’s national security…or how I learned to stop worrying and love Chinese money
ASPI Report (24 pages) April 2012
Should Australia build warships
ASPI Report (28 pages) April 2012 (co-author)
Three views of risk: Selecting and acquiring military equipment
co-authors Andrew Davies & Chris Jenkins, ASPI Report (22 pages) November 2011
Who goes where? Positioning the ADF for the Asia-Pacific century
co-author Andrew Davies, ASPI Report (8 pages) September 2011
Serving Australia: control and administration of the Department of Defence
ASPI Report (52 pages) June 2011
The Cost of Defence: ASPI Budget Brief 2011-12
ASPI Report (270 pages) May 2011
The once and future submarine—raising and sustaining Australia’s underwater capability
co-author Andrew Davies, ASPI Report (7 pages) April 2011
Known unknowns: Uncertainty about the future of the Asia-Pacific
co-author Andrew Davies, ASPI Report (16 pages) October 2010
What sort of defence force does Australia need?
ASPI Report (13 pages) August 2010
How much is enough? The disclosure of defence capability planning information
co-author Leigh Purnell, ASPI Report (76 pages) June 2010
The Cost of Defence: ASPI Budget Brief 2010-11
ASPI Report (264 pages) May 2010
Naval gazing: The future of Australia’s naval shipbuilding and repair sector
ASPI Report (24 pages) May 2010 (co-author)
Australian defence policy assessment 2010
co-authors Rod Lyon and Andrew Davies, ASPI Report (19 pages) April 2010
A modest proposal: do our homework (Review of Shipbuilding: Australia’s $250 billion Nation Building Opportunity)
ASPI online forum (2 pages) March 2010
Trends in US defence spending: implications for Australia
ASPI Report (8 pages) March 2010
The Human Tide: An Australian Perspective on Demographics and Security
ASPI Report, (70 pages) June 2009
The Cost of Defence: ASPI Budget Brief 2009-10
ASPI Report (236 pages) May 2009
2008-09 mid-year Defence budget update
ASPI Report (12 pages) February 2009
Strategic Choices – Defending Australia in the 21st century
co-author Andrew Davies, ASPI Report (32 pages) December 2008
The Cost of Defence: ASPI Budget Brief 2008-09
ASPI Report (244 pages) May 2008
ADF Capability Review: Australian Army
co-author Andrew Davies, ASPI Report (8 pages) May 2008
An Office of National Security
co-author Anthony Bergin, ASPI Report (2 pages) December 2007
The Australia-Japan_strategic relationship: An Australian perspective
The 4th Australia and Japan1.5 Track Security Dialogue, Canberra,10–11, pp. 78-87, December 2007.
2007 Australian Defence Budget Summary
ASPI Report (12 pages) August 2007
The Cost of Defence: ASPI Budget Brief 2007-08
ASPI Report (236 pages) May 2007
The Final Straw: Are our defence forces overstretched?
ASPI Report (11 pages) May 2007
Improving Defence Management
ASPI Report (15 pages) January 2007
Transforming the US Military: Implications for the Asia-Pacific
with Richard Bitzinger (principle author), ASPI Report, December 2006
Your Defence Dollar: The 2006-07 Defence Budget
ASPI Report (15 pages) August 2006
The Cost of Defence: ASPI Budget Brief 2006-07
ASPI Report, (222 pages) May 2006
Crunch Time: Planning Australia’s future defence force
ASPI Report (14 pages), November 2005
Punching above our weight? Australia as a middle power
ASPI Report (13 pages), August 2005
Your Defence Dollar: The 2005-06 Defence Budget
ASPI Report (46 pages), August 2005
The Cost of Defence: ASPI Defence Budget Brief 2005-06
ASPI Report (232 pages) May 2005
War and Profit: Doing business on the battlefield
ASPI Report (48 pages) March 2005
Your Defence Dollar: The 2004-05 Defence Budget
ASPI Report (56 pages) August 2004
The Cost of Defence: ASPI Defence Budget Brief 2004-05
ASPI Report (204 pages) May 2004
A Trillion Dollars and Counting: Paying for defence to 2050
ASPI Report (39 pages) March 2004
Weapons of Mass Construction: Australian naval shipbuilding
ASPI Report (4 pages) March 2004
Reviewing the Defence Capability Plan 2004-2014
with Aldo Borgu, ASPI Report (12 pages) March 2004
Private financing of the HQ Joint Operations Command
ASPI Discussion Paper, (distributed to Central Agencies), 2004
Pay Your Money, Take Your Pick: Defence spending choices for Australia
ASPI Report (54 pages) December 2003
Sinews of War: Defence Budget in 2003
ASPI Report (52 pages) August 2003
The Cost of Defence: ASPI Budget Brief 2003-04
ASPI Report (190 pages) May 2003
Cut Capability Last: Responding to a Defence Budget Crisis
ASPI Decision Maker’s Brief (distributed to Central Agencies)
(with Aldo Borgu), 2003
Setting a Course for Australia’s Naval Shipbuilding Industry
ASPI Report (44 pages) August 2002
The Cost of Defence: ASPI Budget Brief 2002-03
ASPI Report (145 pages) May 2002
Acclimatization Disposition and ADF Readiness
ASPI Quick Look Brief (prepared for Minister for Defence Personnel and Science) 2005
New Ideas for Defence Personnel
ASPI Quick Look Brief (prepared for Minister for Defence Personnel and Science) 2005
Recruiting from the South Pacific and East Timor
ASPI Quick Look Brief (prepared for Minister for Defence Personnel and Science) 2005
Private financing of the HQ Joint Operations Command
ASPI Discussion Paper (17 pages) 2004
Cut Capability Last: Responding to the Defence Budget Crisis
ASPI Decision Makers’ Brief (18 pages) 2003
The 2001-02 Defence Annual Report – A Quick Overview
ASPI Decision Makers’ Brief (11 pages) 2003
Defence Budget 2003-04: A Budget Night Guide to Defence Spending
ASPI Media Brief (8 pages) May 2003
Defence’s Naval Shipbuilding and Repair Sector Plan
ASPI Decision Makers’ Brief (15 pages) 2002
ASPI working papers and informal reports
Other think tank publications
Essay on Australian Defence Economics in The Military Balance 2016. International Institute for Strategic Studies, pp. 217-221, 2016.
Australian Defense Policy in the Trump Era
co-author Andrew Davies
Asia Pacific Bulletin, No. 373, 27 February 2017, East West Center
Deciphering Australia’s Defense Budget
Asia Pacific Bulletin, No. 215, 23 May 2013, East West Center
Confusion Down Under: Australia and the US Pivot to Asia
Asia Pacific Bulletin, No. 180, 23 September 2012, East West Center
Official policy documents and reports
Defence Industry Policy Review 2006 Discussion Paper
Prepared for Defence Minister Brendan Nelson
(coauthored with Lucio Di Bartolomeo, Kerry Clarke, Henry Ergas)
Defence and Industry Policy Statement 2007
Prepared for Defence Minister Brendan Nelson
(coauthored with Lucio Di Bartolomeo, Kerry Clarke, Henry Ergas)
Going to the Next Level – Report of the Defence Procurement and Sustainment Review (acted as Editorial Adviser)
How much information is enough? The disclosure of defence capability planning information 2010
Prepared for Defence Minister John Faulkner
(with Leigh Purnell)
Journal articles
Funding and Delivering the 2016 Defence White Paper
Security Challenges, Vol. 12, No. 1, (11 pages) 2016.
Means Ends and Make Believe
Security Challenges, Vol. 9, No. 2, (8 pages) 2013.
Politics of Defence Economics in Australia (interview)
POLICY, Vol. 29, No. 2, Winter 2013 (3 pages)
Lean Times Ahead for the Australian Defence Force
Newsbrief, RUSI, Vol.33 No.1, January 2013
Austraian Defence: The Future under Abbott
Newsbrief, RUSI, Vol.33 No.6, November 2013
More Guns Without Less Butter: Improving Australian Defence Efficiency
co-author Henry Ergas
Agenda, Vol. 18, No. 3, 2011
Review of ‘The Science of War’ by Michael E O’Hanlon
Australian Army Journal, p.194-195, Vol. VII, No. 3, 2010
Defence Funding and Planning: Promises and Secrets
Security Challenges, Vol. 5, No. 2, (8 pages) Winter 2009.
Review of The Defence Theory of Relativity by Brian Cooper
Defender, p. 41, (1 page) Winter 2007.
Australian Defence Spending: As Good as it Gets?
Defender, p. 12, (3 pages) Winter 2007.
Will Australia have the Economic, Industrial and Workforce Skill Base to Support the ADF in 2020 and Beyond?
Australian Defence Force Journal, p. 101-109, No. 173, 2007.
Competition in Australian defence procurement
Growth, p. 32-39, No. 57, Committee for the Economic Development of Australia, 2006
Defence Budget 2006-07: Planning on Hope or Pessimism
Defender, p.12 (7 pages) Winter 2006.
Guns or Butter
Defender, p. 18 (1 page) Summer 2005-06.
Easier Said Than Done: At the Six Year Mark in Remaking the ADF
Defender, p.11-15, Winter 2005.
Monographs and chapters
‘Funding Australia’s Defence’ in Australian Defence – Towards a New Era?. Edited by Peter J. Dean, Stepan Fruhling and Brandan Taylor. Melbourne University Press, Melbourne, 2014.
‘Inquiries into Defence -why no difference?’ in Royal Commissions & Public Inquiries – Practice & Potential (with Henry Ergas). Edited by Scott Prasser and Helen Tracey, Connorcourt Publishing, Ballarat, 2014.
‘Strategic Considerations’ in Transport Fuels from Australia’s Gas Resources: Advancing the nation’s energy security. Edited by Robert Clark and Mark Thomson, UNSW Press, Sydney, 2014.
‘Australian Naval Shipbuilding’ in The Naval Contribution to National Security and Prosperity – Proceedings of the RAN Sea Power Conference 2012 (with Henry Ergas and Andrew Davies). Edited by Andrew Forbes, Commonwealth of Australia, 2013.
‘Populate or perish’ in A Greater Australia: Population, policies and governance, Committee for the Economic Development of Australia (10 pages) March 2012
‘The Power of Three’ in Asia-Pacific Security – US, Australia and Japan and the New Security Triangle, Edited by William T. Tow, Mark J. Thomson, Yoshinobu Yamamoto & Satu P. Limaye, Routledge, Oxon, 2007.
‘The Challenge of Coherence: Strategic Guidance, Capability and Budgets’ in History as Policy – framing the debate on the future of Australia’s defence policy, Edited by Ron Huisken and Meredith Thatcher, p. 131-141, ANU Press 2007.
Conference papers and talks (incomplete)
What does the 2012 Budget mean for the 2009 Defence White Paper? (slides)
ASPI-HP Defence and Security Luncheon, Canberra, (10 pages) May 2012
The 2013 Defence White Paper: Key issues and challenges (video)
National Security College public event, 15 May 2012, ANU, with Rod Lyon and Peter Leahy
Should Australia build warships: An economic and strategic analysis
co-authors Andrew Davies & Henry Ergas, Conference Paper (28 pages) April 2012
The 2011 Defence Budget and Defence Reform
ASPI-Unisys Defence and Security Luncheon, Canberra, (13 pages) May 2011
What sort of Defence Force Does Australia Need?
Proceedings of the ASPI Global Forces 2010 Conference, (13 pages) 18-19 August 2010
The 2010 Defence Budget
ASPI-Unisys Defence and Security Luncheon, Canberra, May 2010
The global financial crisis and the Australian defence budget
ASPI-UNISYS Defence and Security Luncheon, Canberra, (12 pages) May 2009
Will Australia have the Economic, Industrial and Workforce Skill Base to Support the ADF in 2020 and Beyond?
Proceeding of the ADC-RUSI Seminar 2007, Australian Defence Force Journal, No. 173, p. 101-109, 2007.
Defence industry in the 21st century: Implications for smaller countries, presented at the International Seminar on Defence Finance and Economics, New Delhi, India (26 pages) November 2006.
Where To Now For Naval Shipbuilding & Repair?
Pacific International Maritime Conference, Sydney, (10 pages), 3 February 2004
The Changing Roles of Defence and Industry in Material Support
Defence Material and Logistics Support Conference, Sydney, 18 August 2003
Magazine articles
2017 Budget delivers for Defence
Australian Defence Magazine, p.19, (2 pages) June 2017
Interview on Australian Defence (confused)
Monacle, Issue 91, p. 71, (1 column) March 2016.
2016 Federal Budget and the Defence White Paper
Australian Defence Magazine, p. 21-22, (2 pages) June 2016
Setting the Sea Power scene
Australian Defence Magazine, (4 pages) p. 18-22, October 2015 (with Andrew Davies)
Budget 2015 – Better than expected
Australian Defence Magazine, (2 pages) p. 42-42, June 2015
Defence funding and reform – light at the end of the tunnel
Australian Defence Magazine, (2 pages) p. 22-24, June 2014
‘Defence Budget – Not all woe or go ‘
Australian Defence Magazine, (2 pages) p. 46-47, June 2013
Budget 2012: A thin case for optimism
Australian Defence Magazine, (2 pages) p. 54-55, June 2012
‘Force 2013 faces perfect storm’
Australian Defence Magazine, p. 48-52, June 2011
‘From the Source’ Interview with Andrew Davies and Mark Thomson
Australian Defence Magazine, p. 47-50, July 2010
‘Budget 2010 – Promises Promises’
Australian Defence Magazine, p. 44-45, June 2010
‘ASPI’s Opinion’
Australian Defence Magazine, May 2008
‘The Future of Naval Shipbuilding in Australia’
Australian Defence Magazine, p. 22-24, May 2007
‘Defence’s Business Environment—good news and bad’
Australian Defence Magazine, p. 12, April 2004
‘Defence changes strike right note’
Asia- Pacific Defence Reporter, November, p. 7-10, November, 2003.
‘Setting a Course for Australian Naval Shipbuilding and Repair Sector’
Australian Defence Magazine, p.25-28, June 2003
Newspaper and online articles
Scramble will not content everyone
The Australian, 28 October 2017
Defence budget 2017
The Australian, May 2017
Title unknown (defence spending)
The Australian (?), October 2016
Defence White Papers 2000-2016
The Australian (?), May 2016
Services as good as their people
The Australian, 1 November 2015
More than $1 trillion, but why put a figure on it
The Australian, 1 November 2015
An expanding defence budget is a hard sell for new minister Marise Payne
The Sydney Morning Herald, 26 October 2015
Budget boost off to a slow start
The Australian, 28 May 2016
Strategic planning to manage defence spending
The Australian, 30 May 2015
Mission – smooth sailing
The Australian, 1 November 2014
Military the big buget winner
The Australian, 31 May 2014
In a real world, Abbott faces a big challenge
The Australian, 2 November 2013
No defence
Australian Financial Review, 2 July 2013
Risks of building subs needs analysis
The Australian, 23 June 2013
We’re still not paying enough for the defence force we need
The Canberra Times, 3 June 2013
Future Frigate haste means Anzac waste
The Australian, 25 May 2013
Second change — will they deliver
The Australian, 25 May 2013
In step with the US but to our own stride
The Australian, 27 October 2012
We need defence we can afford
The Australian, 18 September 2012
We needn’t worry about defence cuts
Australian Financial Review, 18 August 2012
If budget cuts portend smaller ambitions – let’s spell them out in the white paper
The Australian, 26 May 2012
Why the Department keeps Getting it Wrong
The Australian, 29 October 2011
Saga of cuts and deferrals
The Australian, 28 May 2011
Accountability the elephant in the room
The Australian, 28 May 2011
Notebook – End of the rabbit hole
Australian Financial Review, 27 May 2011
Budget night opinion
The Sydney Morning Herald, 11 May 2011
Budget night opinion
The Age, 11 May 2011
Focus shifts to the developing world as budget cuts bite
The Australian, 23 October 2010
Australian Defence Supplement – centrespread
The Australian, 23 October 2010
Era of the spree has long gone
The Australian, 29 May 2010
New force protection measures not before time
Crikey.com.au, 12 May 2010
Boom and the fear factor delivered payload of cash
Sydney Morning Herald, 10 March 2010
Flood of money does not negate the neccessity of $20bn cut to expenditure
The Australian, 23 May 2009
Less blue-sky innovation, more basics
The Australian, 24 October 2009
Defence’s black op – kepping the public in the dark
Canberra Times, 2 June 2009
Budget night opinion
The Australian, 13 May 2009
Inefficiencies must be addressed
The Australian, 7 June 2008
Rudd’s vast foreign engagements
ABC Online, The Drum, 31 December 2007
Balancing interests a tough act
The Australian, 8 December 2007
Defence procurement (publication uncertain)
The Australian, August 2007
Cash a record, but ranks on empty
The Australian, 26 May 2007
Cure less severe than diagnosis in review
The Australian, 26 May 2007
Budget night opinion
Crikey (online), 9 May 2007
Budget night opinion
The Australian, 9 May 2007
Budget night opinion
Australian Financial Review, 9 May 2007
Budget night opinion
The Sydney Morning Herald, 9 May 2007
‘Defence’s Proustian moment’
Australian Financial Review, 31 January 2007
More spending is inevitable despite committment hike
The Australian, 27 May 2006
Budget night opinion
The Sydney Morning Herald, 10 May 2006
National security spending (publication uncertain)
The Australian, February 2006
ADF must have budget growth beyond 2010
The Australian, 10 December 2005
Budget marks 455 m for Iraq
The Australian, 21 May 2005
Budget night opinion
The Age, May 2005
Flush military faces leaner times
The Australian, 18 June 2004
Naval Contracts Chart New course in Tendering
Australian Financial Review, 18 June 2004
Budget night opinion
The Daily Telegraph, 12 May 2004
Financial responsibility for service chiefs
Australian Financial Review, 31 March 2004
The fleet’s in – hopefully
Australian Financial Review, 25 February 2004
Defence is an unstoppable beast
Australian Financial Review, 22 August 2003
Lies and statistics: Defence and GDP
Australian Financial Review, 9 August 2003
Lies and statistics – Cost of Iraq
Australian Financial Review, 12 April 2003
Plan does not improve with time (Iraq Invasion)
Australian Financial Review, 2 April 2003
ADF funding does not reach its target
Australian Financial Review, 5 February 2003
Fighting Chance for Navy
Australian Financial Review, 7 August 2002
Blog posts
The best of times…
The Strategist, 23 February 2018
The Australia–New Zealand defence partnership: a net assessment
The Strategist, 21 February 2018
Defence acquisition—taking on more risk for greater speed
The Strategist, 19 December 2017 (with Andrew Davies)
Submission to the parliamentary inquiry into the benefits and risks of a bipartisan Australian defence agreement
The Strategist, 17 October 2017 (with Andrew Davies)
More of the same: Defence’s online Integrated Investment Program
The Strategist, 4 August 2017
The wickedness of China
The Strategist, 8 June 2017
The Budget that was
The Strategist, 25 May 2017
Smart buyer: just saying it doesn’t make it so
The Strategist, 24 May 2017
Defence exports—best bang for the buck?
The Strategist, 23 May 2017
Australia and War To-Day (part 2)
The Strategist, 22 May 2017
Australia and War To-day
The Strategist, 19 May 2017
Defence efficiency dividends: weeding the garden blindfolded
The Strategist, 18 May 2017
The national shipbuilding plan: a first look
The Strategist, 16 May 2017 (with Andrew Davies)
Driving the economy
The Strategist, 12 May 2017
Budget 2017: the highlights
The Strategist, 10 May 2017
Budget 2017: tell me what you really think
The Strategist, 8 May 2017
Beast of burden
The Strategist, 5 April 2017
What Trump understands
The Strategist, 22 March 2017 (with Andrew Davies)
‘Lawful countermeasures’ and China’s South China Sea claims
The Strategist, 16 March 2017 (with Andrew Davies)
A letter from America: views from DC
The Strategist, 13 March 2017 (with Andrew Davies)
Naval shipbuilding in Australia: the case for a regulatory overhaul
The Strategist, 14 December 2016 (with Andrew Davies)
Shaping and hedging in a time of Trump
The Strategist, 15 November 2016
Australia and New Zealand—so near yet so far
The Strategist, 17 October 2016
Interpreting the ASC split
The Strategist, 12 October 2016 (with Andrew Davies)
ASPI at 15: the cost of Defence
The Strategist, 26 August 2016
Geek(s) of the week: trawling the Defence contracts database
The Strategist, 22 August 2016 (with Andrew Davies)
DWP 2016: betting big at the regional roulette table
The Strategist, 9 May 2016
Making sense of the government’s defence industry policy
The Strategist, 6 May 2016
The no-surprises Defence budget
The Strategist, 3 May 2016
Defence budget watch
The Strategist, 2 May 2016
Building the future Navy: the OPVs
The Strategist, 28 April 2016
The ADF, the Australian public and The Australian
The Strategist, 22 April 2016 (with Andrew Davies)
Planning for failure—the Oberon to Collins transition
The Strategist, 11 April 2016 (with Andrew Davies)
When is rolling submarine production not continuous?
The Strategist, 6 April 2016 (with Andrew Davies)
The (kinda sort of) Integrated Investment Program
The Strategist, 9 March 2016
Reflections on the 2016 Quad Plus Dialogue
The Strategist, 8 March 2016 (with Andrew Davies)
The new normal: a decade of stagnant real wages for defence personnel?
The Strategist, 8 March 2016
New subs—not so fast
The Strategist, 3 March 2016 (with Andrew Davies)
Solving the China puzzle
The Strategist, 1 March 2016
Good riddance to 2% targeting
The Strategist, 25 February 2016
Funding defence and squaring the circle
The Strategist, 18 February 2016
Turning Japanese
The Strategist, 9 February 2016
Cheaper by the dozen
The Strategist, 12 January 2016
Australia and Japan: the unknown unknowns
The Strategist, 18 November 2015
Managing monopolies or confecting competition?
The Strategist, 21 October 2015 (with Andrew Davies)
The future submarine project: one step, two step
The Strategist, 8 October 2015 (with Andrew Davies)
Tony Abbott’s trillion dollar legacy
The Strategist, 6 October 2015
Surface warships: it’s not all plain sailing
The Strategist, 26 August 2015 (with Andrew Davies)
The Strategist, 4 August 2015 (with Andrew Davies)
China’s economic outlook: the end of certainty?
The Strategist, 30 July 2015
Beauty is in the eye of the beholder
The Strategist, 16 July 2015
Rollin’, rollin’, rollin’
The Strategist, 13 July 2015 (with Andrew Davies)
Graph of the week: the trackside view of defence spending
The Strategist, 3 July 2015
Indexation, inflation and the cost of defence projects
The Strategist, 22 June 2015
What on earth is going on with the Air Warfare Destroyer program?
The Strategist, 19 June 2015
Collins submarine availability—on track but under wraps
The Strategist, 29 May 2015 (with Andrew Davies)
Cost of Defence 2015 launched
The Strategist, 28 May 2015
Saving the AWD project—too little, too late?
The Strategist, 27 May 2015
The 2015 Defence White Paper: show us the money
The Strategist, 26 May 2015
Not the last word on the first principles review
The Strategist, 22 May 2015
Budget 2015: a good one for Defence
The Strategist, 13 May 2015
Budget 2015: global uncertainties and Australia’s defence spending
The Strategist, 12 May 2015
Naval deconstruction: RAND’s shipbuilding report
The Strategist, 5 May 2015
Accounting for accountability
The Strategist, 23 May 2015
The demise of the Defence Materiel Organisation
The Strategist, 17 April 2015
The surface fleet: the question of numbers
The Strategist, 12 February 2015
Whither 2%?
The Strategist, 10 February 2015
AWD: time for Plan B
The Strategist, 10 December 2014 (with Andrew Davies)
The costs of cutting steel
The Strategist, 5 November 2014
On economics and submarines
The Strategist, 29 October 2014 (with Henry Ergas)
Graph of the week: ADF pay
The Strategist, 17 October 2014
Submarines: the value of Option B
The Strategist, 3 October 2014
Defence and the diarchy
The Strategist, 1 October 2014
First principles review: one more round of external oversight
The Strategist, 22 August 2014
The British are coming
The Strategist, 6 August 2014 (with Andrew Davies)
The elephant in the conference room
The Strategist, 30 July 2014
Defence projects, jobs and economic growth
The Strategist, 8 July 2014
How to buy a submarine – part 2
The Strategist, 25 June 2014 (with Andrew Davies)
Shipbuilding—Australian style
The Strategist, 10 June 2014
The cost of Defence: eighty million, two hundred & eighty-one thousand, three hundred & ninety-one dollars & seventy-eight cents per day
The Strategist, 29 May 2014
The 2014 Defence budget—as good as it gets!
The Strategist, 13 May 2014
Defence reform after the National Commission of Audit
The Strategist, 6 May 2014
The JSF and the issue of ‘new money’
The Strategist, 28 April 2014
Submarines by the dozen?
The Strategist, 10 April 2014
Thinking about submarines
The Strategist, 8 April 2014
Free financial advice
The Strategist, 26 March 2014
Should we worry about China’s defence spending?
The Strategist, 17 March 2014
Power sharing and risk management in Hugh White’s ‘China Choice’
The Strategist, 28 February 2014
Defence efficiency: ASPI’s view
The Strategist, 12 February 2014
DMO: industry’s view not accurate
The Strategist, 7 February 2014
Graph of the week: a short history of over-programming in defence acquisition
The Strategist, 9 December 2013 (with Andrew Davies)
Capability development—still a work in progress (2)
The Strategist, 4 December 2013 (with Andrew Davies)
Capability development—still a work in progress (1)
The Strategist, 28 November 2013 (with Andrew Davies)
A folly of strategic proportions
The Strategist, 28 October 2013
In the market for a naval shipbuilding plan
The Strategist, 26 September 2013
The Air Warfare Destroyer project – how effective is the alliance model?
The Strategist, 16 September 2013
2% – can we, should we, will we?
The Strategist, 10 September 2013
Two—the magic number
The Strategist, 26 August 2013
Defence reform and the cuts to come
The Strategist, 20 August 2013
The ongoing unreality of Australian defence planning
The Strategist, 15 August 2013 (with Andrew Davies)
Welcome aboard, Minister
The Strategist, 28 June 2013 (with Andrew Davies)
Australian shipbuilding—Pretty Woman III?
The Strategist, 5 June 2013
The cost of Defence: sixty-nine million, six hundred & eighty-one thousand, nine hundred & eighty dollars & eighty-two cents per day
The Strategist, 30 May 2013
The Defence White Paper—between the lines
The Strategist, 14 May 2013
All at sea
The Strategist, 8 May 2013
Where’s the Beef?
The Strategist, 3 May 2013
We don’t have to choose between the US and China
The Strategist, 2 May 2013
Economists and strategists
The Strategist, 29 April 2013
There’s no perfect measure for defence spending
The Strategist, 23 April 2013
Trade partnership competition: TPP vs RCEP
The Strategist, 16 April 2013
On the eve of Iraq
The Strategist, 3 April 2013
A (fiscal) reality of our own creation
The Strategist, 28 March 2013
Marines in Darwin – make it so
The Strategist, 1 March 2013 (with Andrew Davies)
What’s happening to the US defence budget?
The Strategist, 19 February 2013
Hard times
The Strategist, 13 February 2013
Pamphlets, papers and policy
The Strategist, 4 December 2012
Defence in an age of austerity
The Strategist, 4 December 2012
Trouble at the docks?
The Strategist, 13 September 2012
The swings and roundabout of defence reform
The Strategist, 12 September 2012 (with Andrew Davies)
Re-re-re-reforming Defence acquisition
The Strategist, 10 September 2012 (with Andrew Davies)
Growler: a big decision with big consequences
The Strategist, 23 August 2012
How much is too little? Learning to live with a smaller force
The Strategist, 15 August 2012
Thinking about defence and risk
The Strategist, 2 August 2012
What are we to make of the new Defence Capability Plan?
The Strategist, 30 July 2012
Guns or butter?
The Strategist, 18 July 2012
History Rhymes: The dangers of containing China
Pnyx, 8 August 2011
Science
Ground-state spectrum of light-quark measons
C J Burden, L. Qian, C D Roberts, P C Tandy and M J Thomson
Physical Review C, Vol 55, No. 5, 2649 (1997)
Separable approximation to the Bethe-Salpeter equation in QCD
C J Burden, L. Qian, C D Roberts, P C Tandy and M J Thomson
Nuclear Physics B, Vol. 47 (Proc. Suppl.) p. 362-365 (1996)
Electromagnetic form-factors of charged and neutral kaons
C J Burden, C D Roberts and M J Thomson
Physics Letters B, Vol. 371, p. 163 (1996)
Large neutrino asymmetries from neutrino oscillations
R Foot, M J Thomson and R. Volkas
Physical Review D Vol. 53, p. 5349 (1996)
Honours_Level_Quantum_Mechanics_on_the_Web
B H J McKellar and M J Thomson
Proceedings of the Second Annual Australian Conference on Computors in University physics Education, University of Melbourne Physics 1995/56 (1995)
Oscillating neutrinos in the early universe
B H J McKellar and M J Thomson
Physical Review D, Vol. 49, p.2710 (1994)
The Dirac equation in Kerr spacetime, spheroidal coordinates and the MIT bag model of hadrons
B H J McKellar, G J Stephenson Jr and M J Thomson
Journal of Physics A, Mathematical and General Physics, Vol. 26, No. 14. p.3649 (1993)
Can we test the many-Hilbert-space approach to quantum mechanics?
M J Thomson
Physics Letters A, Vol. 179, No. 4-5. pp.239-243 (1993)
Atmospheric neutrino fluxes and sterile neutrinos
Kari Enqvist, Kimmo Kainulainen and Mark Thomson
Physics Letters B, Vol. 288, No. 1-2. pp. 145-147 (1992)
Stringent cosmological bounds on inert neutrino mixing
Kari Enqvist, Kimmo Kainulainen and Mark Thomson
Nuclear Physics B, Vol. 373, No. 2. pp. 498-528 (1992)
Book Review: Neutrino Physics, Klaus Winter (ed.)
M J Thomson
Astrophysics and Space Science, Vol. 198, p. 165 (1992)
Master equations for oscillating doublet neutrinos
B H J McKellar and M J Thomson
Proceedings of the 1992 Franklin Neutrino Symposium
Cosmological bounds on Dirac-Majorana neutrinos
Kari Enqvist, Kimmo Kainulainen and Mark Thomson
Physics Letters B, Vol. 280, No. 3-4. pp. 245-250 (1992)
Damping of quantum coherence by elastic and inelastic processes
M J Thomson
Physical Review A, Vol. 45, No. 4, p.2243 (1992)
Nucleosynthesis confronts an unstable, inert 17-keV state
Kari Enqvist, Kimmo Kainulainen and Mark Thomson
Physical Review Letters, Vol. 68, No. 6, p.744-747 (1992)
mentioned in Nature 355 (1992) p.637 and New Scientist (4 April 1992) p. 16
The non-linear MSW equation
B H J McKellar and M J Thomson
Physics Letters B, Vol. 259 No. 1-2, pp.113-118 (1991)
The solution of the Dirac equation for a high square barrier
B H J McKellar and M J Thomson
American Journal of Physics, Vol. 59, No. 4, p.340 (1991)
A microscopic model for the propagation of an oscillating neutrino in matter
B H J McKellar and M J Thomson
Modern Physics Letters A Vol. 05, No. 26, pp. 2107-2113 (1990)
Climbing
Bomb Away 2016
Unpublished draft from 2016 John Long Writing Symposium
Unpublished essays
2017 Things I don’t understand about F-35 program economic impact (wonkish)
(7 pages)
2016 Paper on submarine plans and transition (wonkish)
(17 pages) with Andrew Davies
2009 Essay on US in Asia
(6 pages)
2009 Outline for Power and Money
(2 pages)
2006 Essay on Strategic Update
(3 pages)
2005 Essay What is our policy?
(33 pages)
2004 Election oped (not submitted)
(2 pages)
2004 Shipbuilding oped (not submitted)
(2 pages)
2003 Iraq oped 2 (not submitted)
(2 pages)
2003 Iraq oped 1 (not submitted)
(2 pages)
2003 Cosgrove Book Chapter
(16 pages)